Archive for December, 2009

Phil Town advices to pay down debt 1st

December 28, 2009

Options trading with Phil Town remembers one of the great advantages of being in the military a long time ago is that you don’t get too worked up about the little things that go wrong in my life now.  Once you’ve been shot at, everything else seems relatively minor.  So the first thing I can tell you about having too much debt is to keep it in perspective.  Nobody died, we’re still healthy, we’re still in the game.

Now to the big question people ask after hearing Phil Town speak: Is Should they pay for options trading when they’re loaded up with debt?  Like the cool African in Gladiator said at the end, “Not yet, my friend, not yet.” says Phil Town.
In fact, to justify borrowing to invest, we have to apply the Margin of Safety criteria but times 2.  So if our investment is likely to give us a 16% return, the most we can pay for debt is 4%.  If you can borrow at 4% and invest in options trading with certainty then sure.  But you can’t have certainty in your first investments because you are just learning.  Therefore, I’d say for almost everyone who has debt problems you should pay off the credit card debt first.
Usually a lot of debt means you are paying top interest rates – maybe higher than 18% a year.  Remember that our target for our return on invested money is 15%.  And do you remember Rule #1?  Rule #1 in this case would tell you that if you are paying 18% and making 15% you are not playing by the Rule.
Meanwhile, while you are paying off your debt, you are going to be banking the most important thing you can bank: investing experience.  I would recommend this whether you have debt or not: if you are a just starting Rule One type investing, then I want you to paper trade $100,000 until you know you know what you are doing.  It might take you 2 months.  It might take you 2 years.  But that’s okay because you are banking experience.  And meanwhile, you are getting rid of the debt.
And here’s a secret to getting rich fast: Use other people’s money.  Big secret, huh?!  Okay so it isn’t.  The secret lies in GETTING other people’s money.  And here’s the secret to that secret: Build a great track record as an investor, even by paper trading and the money will seek you out.  options trading investors are always looking for someone to put money with who has a good track record.

Phil Town’s Payback Time arrives soon

December 8, 2009
Phil Town‘s new book, Payback Time(Random House), like Rule #1, is arriving soon.  Phil Town understands that investors who have made the move from mutual funds to picking their own stocks need a help for doing RULE #1 investing, and that the current market is a place that’s full with bargains to be invested in. That if you’re going to buy into a mutual fund, you might as well invest in an index fund.
Instead, Phil Town offers a strategy he calls stockpiling”, and  showing how investors (Warren Buffett) made huge amounts of money by investing in downturn markets.  This isn’t about stock trading, it’s about buying stocks and holding them for the long term, with dividend reinvestment packages.
Phil Town‘s Payback Time Will Revolutionize Investors approach to buying stocks. Phil Town writes bestselling, wildly successful investment advice.  Bestselling – like his first book, Rule #1.  Radical because he focuses on the sorts of things that don’t make splashy instant millionaires.  Like doing the research needed to figure out what a business does, and to assess how it’s valued versus its potential for growth, in a Warran Buffett style “Buy and Hold” strategy.  His first book covered a number of key investing and financial planning concepts like ROI, Capital and Equity, and what to look for in financial disclosure forms.  The truth is that investing in stocks means spending more time looking for things to mess up the deal on investments.

Comparing investing options

December 3, 2009

Phil Town investor and teacher. Phil Town wants to look at the difference between investing $ fifty thousand now in real estate vs. fifty thousand now with Phil Town investing strategies.

Here are the numbers that you will need to consider:  You buy a $250,000 house someplace for fifty thousand down with a 6% 30 year fixed mortgage.  Your payments are $1200 a month but you rent it for $1200 and cover your mortgage payments.  You are, however, in the hole for insurance, maintenance, advertising and taxes.

On the other hand, Phil Town suggests to allow you to never miss a month’s rent and you can increase the rent by 4% a year.  By your 9th year, you’ve been able to increase rents enough to cover everything.  From there on to the 30th year it’s all cash flow.  Then you sell the place.  At that point, the house is worth $811,000 and is totally paid for.  Plus you’ve pocketed another $175,000 that you reinvested wisely and made the same return on that as on your house over all – about 10% per year for an additional $440,000.  Total return equals $1,251,000.  Your compounded ROI for 30 years is 11%.  Quite respectable although I did not deduct for management which I expect you will do yourself.  This is not an insignificant headache and makes scaling up the investment dollars difficult.  Nonetheless, let’s compare that to our 15% minimum Rule #1 return.

First, we have no management.  We do not have to negotiate.  We do not have to drive around neighborhoods looking for a deal.  These are not insignificant advantages.  What we do have to do is spend about 15 minutes a week managing our few businesses.  And we have to know how to do Rule #1 investing, of course, but it’s easy to learn once you see the advantages.

We do Phil Town investing with our $50,000.  Since we’re going to use leverage in the real estate transaction, we’re going to use it here, too.  Our online broker will lend 50%.  Now we have $100,000 for Phil Town investing.  We buy a wonderful business at an attractive price and sell it when it gets unattractive and buy another one.  We do that for 30 years averaging 15% but paying 8% margin costs on $50,000.  (I’m not getting taxed in either case because I’m doing both in an IRA).  After 30 years, my investment is worth $6,500,000 after deducting margin costs.  My 30 years compounded ROI is 18%, only 7 points higher than the real estate transaction, but 5.3 million dollars more in my bank account.

But if you are a Phil Town investor, you will continue to invest the $6.5 million at 15% and then live on the 15% increase each year.  That means you are receiving about $80,000 a month.  That’s not a typo.  Your income off the 6 million is almost 1 million a year.  Of course you do have to pay tax on that so you’ll end up with about $50,000 a month which is only $20,000 in today’s dollars.

So don’t stay ignorant of Rule #1 investing, go exclusively for real estate and try live on the result the rest of your life or become a Rule #1 investor.

Phil’s Motorcycle Trip

December 1, 2009

If you’ve seen Phil Town speak you have probably heard him talk about his bad boy motorcycle days.  Phil Town started riding as a kid on a Honda 350 then graduated to a Triumph Bonneville, then on to Harley Davidsons.  Once Phil Town rode from Panama to San Francisco back when the Pan-American Highway was still gravel in lot of places.  On that trip Phil rode solo through countries that were in the middle of revolutions, through rain, through freezing mountain passes and finally, after several weeks on the road Phil Town made it across the Guatemala-Mexico border and turned toward a warm desert and Vera Cruz.  It’s a long empty stretch of road on the map and just as empty on the ground, but it looked warm.
Once Phil Town was doing about 60 MPH when I saw a cow walking slowly across the road in front of me.

This was not the first cow on the road on this trip, so he wasn’t really paying attention.  Without thinking, Phil rode in front of her instead of behind.  She spooked, jumped and he hit her broadside.  When I woke up I was staring vacantly up at a blue sky and couldn’t figure out where I was.  Then I remembered flying over the back of the cow.  I slowly checked myself over for major injuries, found, miraculously, there were none, then got up and saw the bike was seriously messed up. The impact was on top of the fender and into the forks.  The fender was smashed into the tire, the forks were twisted and bent, the handlebars were tweaked 90 degrees to the left and shoved back, the headlight was destroyed and the gas gauge and speedometer were smashed into garbage, the front of the gas tank was bashed in.  The engine had been shifted about an inch to the rear so the chain was off and I was standing there in the middle of a desert  2000 miles from home looking at a bike that might not work so well.

Unfortunately, the rest of the bike didn’t work so well.  The twisted forks meant that to get the front wheel pointed straight ahead, the right grip and throttle were sticking out over the front tire and the left grip and clutch were in my stomach.  But it was ride-able.  Which was good because there wasn’t any choice.  Phil Town was in the middle of nowhere and in all the time from the crash until now no one drove by so help so he had to ride it like that.

Phil started off pretty wobbly but I got the hang of it and after about 10 hours he made it to Vera Cruz, where he checked into a real hotel right above the square.  My right ankle was too swollen to get my boot off, so he had to peel off his pants, hung that leg out of the tub and washed off the blood and grime from the crash.  There was no repair shop in Vera Cruz so the next day I limped out of Vera Cruz for Puebla.  Going up the Puebla grade he forgot his foot didn’t work and he fell over in front of a bus and got trapped under the bike.  He missed Phil.  Other than that it was just slow and uncomfortable.  There was no repair shop in Puebla either.  So I rode it all the way into Mexico City.  500 miles with my left hand in my stomach. I got to a repair shop, checked into a hotel and immediately got Montezuma’s Revenge.  That was a really tough week.

Phil Town thinks the experience with the cow informs the way he does investing.  Failure on a motorcycle is not an option.  Neither is failure as an investor.  Rule #1 investor invests to not lose money like a motorcyclist rides to not run into cows.


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